Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 73524.201104 77700.187519 81879.227554 86372.056387 91062.521541 95811.761755 100980.916160
2025-04-27 67319.960043 73748.062751 80364.289944 87673.450650 95512.003378 103656.188257 112747.829914
2025-05-04 62509.891676 70462.254385 78830.999377 88274.564246 98614.305874 109570.772918 122038.066515
2025-05-11 58450.634135 67500.286085 77203.601822 88349.024937 100763.401778 114132.477736 129583.773598
2025-05-18 55243.975653 65168.515141 75985.535262 88602.938836 102866.272675 118440.192239 136679.397434
2025-05-25 52440.454059 63068.924497 74826.139248 88731.375632 104659.526627 122265.781046 143127.149592
2025-06-01 50606.008677 61932.371661 74629.448170 89832.900576 107453.350114 127141.956043 150710.760695
2025-06-08 48264.954467 60070.711087 73475.986281 89718.500314 108754.465182 130243.839202 156217.963359
2025-06-15 46973.380053 59358.788050 73585.424318 91006.641944 111627.904082 135119.245928 163756.118989
2025-06-22 45511.916716 58363.500874 73290.680094 91756.339027 113822.190146 139177.063746 170335.994784
2025-06-29 43816.718203 57006.881177 72495.121821 91845.495401 115182.374475 142222.321655 175711.144874
2025-07-06 42213.123529 55692.653459 71687.771814 91862.190508 116407.779232 145074.834750 180841.208737
2025-07-13 41305.690517 55215.397860 71884.290042 93095.814738 119115.031432 149727.294103 188181.023642
2025-07-20 40426.859412 54736.663716 72050.016599 94271.676053 121745.762243 154298.852482 195457.677402
2025-07-27 39323.095454 53928.376702 71768.914243 94863.523909 123640.674178 157976.175947 201667.515481
2025-08-03 38040.298519 52843.211178 71098.791283 94932.430342 124861.341841 160817.950825 206861.827473
2025-08-10 36925.214818 51933.274387 70612.793629 95199.353813 126302.820294 163916.267820 212371.020023
2025-08-17 35814.171276 50989.238987 70048.143279 95334.996401 127555.997692 166770.117089 217581.133392
2025-08-24 35218.868287 50700.539783 70304.412951 96502.280359 130101.449167 171227.331979 224792.998947
2025-08-31 34100.775088 49679.597167 69580.589549 96381.023282 130991.474526 173613.292472 229433.767907
2025-09-07 33664.256621 49556.106486 70012.773137 97746.003929 133775.743282 178378.249609 237069.814930
2025-09-14 33015.285719 49121.875839 70017.885383 98540.325738 135821.331984 182218.616289 243565.036532
2025-09-21 32114.890625 48315.911233 69506.088431 98634.784188 136947.941847 184891.257640 248594.512793